Week 12 is here, and to fans' delight, there are three games on Thanksgiving Day!If you follow us in this space, you know I went 3-1-1 last week (pushed +5 against , 21-16 final).RELATED: NFL Thanksgiving betting trends to knowThat means I am 34-25-1 on the season.ADVERTISEMENT Let's keep this thing rolling!Let's dive into my best bets for NFL Week 12.(All times ET)Commanders @ Cowboys (4:30 p.m. Thursday, CBS) has struggled on Thanksgiving with Dallas (1-5 against the spread), but he shouldn't struggle with this abysmal Washington secondary, one that made actually look like Xavier Restrepo Jersey an NFL quarterback last week (three touchdown pa ses).I looked long at the side here and nearly took the 12.5 points, as won't stop throwing, just as he didn't against Denver (cover) and Philadelphia (cover).FINAL WAS 10 DAL 45 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Washington Commanders WAS +13.0 +533 O 48 Dallas Cowboys DAL -13.0 -769 U 48 The Commanders have thrived in the underdog role, going 5-1-1 ATS. I don't know if Howell is good, but the QBs that mighty Dallas has faced include Daniel Jones, DeVito, (rookie), Josh Dobbs, and .PICK: Over 48.5 points scored by both teams combinedWhy Cowboys sit outside of Colin Cowherd's latest Super Bowl bubble Bills @ Eagles (4:25 p.m. Sunday, CBS)Philadelphia has been a juggernaut at home with the last two years, going 11-1 with just one lo s to Washington.Coming off the emotional Super Bowl revenge win in Kansas City, and with a ma sive NFC game looming next week against the 49ers (NFC title game rematch!), it would be understandable if the Eagles had a bit of a letdown here.FINAL / OT BUF 34 PHI 37 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Buffalo Bills BUF +2.5 +125 O 48.5 Philadelphia Eagles PHI -2.5 -147 U 48.5 I don't like Buffalo's defense, and don't read anything into a nice showing against the Zach Wilson/ combo. But if you're giving me the hook, I'll gladly take it.PICK: Bills Tangaloa Kaufusi Jersey (+3.5) to lose by fewer than 3.5 points (or win outright)Saints @ Falcons (1 p.m. Sunday, FOX and FOX Sports App)This line has been hovering around pick 'em all week, largely due to uncertainty on injuries for the Saints.It doesn't sound good for their top cornerback (high-ankle sprain), and WR went on injured reserve with a knee injury.FINAL NO 15 ATL 24 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL New Orleans Saints NO -2.0 -131 O 42 Atlanta Falcons ATL +2.0 +110 U 42 At the time of publication, we still don't know if is going Tyler Elsbury Jersey to start after being in concu sion protocol. It actually might help them if starts.The Saints have struggled against running QBs, and I expect Arthur Smith to keep this simple: 20 or fewer pa ses for , and 40-plus carries from the team.PICK: Falcons (+1) to lose by 1 point (or win outright)49ers @ Seahawks(8:20 p.m. Thursday, NBC)Seattle lost all three games to San Francisco last season, and while this is a large number, it's also a bet against staying healthy against this fearsome 49ers front.He was knocked out of the game by last week and though he did return, there's no telling if he'll be 100 percent.FINAL SF 31 SEA 13 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL San Francisco 49ers SF -7.0 -334 O 43 Seattle Seahawks SEA +7.0 +260 U 43 Kenneth Walker is out for the Seahawks, and has been beat up all season his numbers are tracking toward some of the lowest in his career.PICK: 49ers (-6.5) to win by more than 6.5 pointsDo Brock Purdy, 49ers have a must-win game against Geno Smith, Seahawks? 3-team, 7-point teaserLions -7.5 to -5Detroit should be able to run all over a bad defense, and I don't expect the Lions defense to play as poorly as it did the last couple weeks.The Packers are beat up, with a slew of injuries at running back, tight end and wide receiver.Texans +1.5 to Juicy Landrum Jersey +8.5If you've been reading all season, you know the way to tease games is through the key numbers of three and seven. Houston getting more than a touchdown is a gift Marcus Clarke Jersey .After their first two games of the season (0-2), the Texans are 6-2, with both lo ses by two points.Chargers +3.5 to +10.5Los Angeles was +4 and took large profe sional money early in the week. is coming off a big divisional win and the lo s of star tight end .I'm not sure how the Chargers slow them down, and there's a world where goes off on turf and gets back in the MVP discu sion.Still, every Chargers game feels close, even when they face elite teams (Dallas, , . They just happen to be 0-5 in games decided by three points or fewer.Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead. Follow him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;nbsp;